And Today’s “No Sh*t, Sherlock” Prize Goes To…

heathrow-airport-third-runway-aviation-policy

 

… the hapless Conservative ministers who decided to pander to the green vote by opposing the expansion of London Heathrow Airport during the last general election campaign, but who have finally realised that perhaps constraining airport growth and undermining London’s status as one of the premier European hubs was maybe not such a good idea after all.

As reported in the Guardian today:

According to senior sources, both David Cameron and George Osborne have been convinced of the need to act – and re-examine long-term policy on Heathrow – after being lobbied by overseas leaders and business figures who warn that trade will move elsewhere in the EU unless the airport is expanded.

While the coalition agreement rules out a third runway at Heathrow, which would never be tolerated by the pro-green Liberal Democrats, many Tories now want the party to admit the decision was wrong and back the new runway in the manifesto for the next general election. In the meantime, however, ministers have ordered officials to examine a series of other options. One is the use of RAF Northolt in Ruislip, north-west London, for business flights, to ease pressure on Heathrow, just 13 miles away. Developing Northolt – and perhaps connecting it to Heathrow with a high speed rail link – would allow the government to avoid accusations of a U-turn as the third runway would then be some distance from the main airport.

Just as an aside, note how this story appears in The Guardian’s Environment section, not the Business section.

And predictably, in their panic, a whole load of new hare-brained schemes are now being concocted by these same Conservative ministers:

Tim Yeo, the Tory chairman of the energy and climate change select committee, said that he had “completely changed” his mind on Heathrow expansion and now believed there was no option but to build a third runway to ensure the south of England remained a worldwide aviation hub.

Great. Unfortunately that realisation is followed by this:

While the coalition agreement rules out a third runway at Heathrow, which would never be tolerated by the pro-green Liberal Democrats, many Tories now want the party to admit the decision was wrong and back the new runway in the manifesto for the next general election. In the meantime, however, ministers have ordered officials to examine a series of other options. One is the use of RAF Northolt in Ruislip, north-west London, for business flights, to ease pressure on Heathrow, just 13 miles away. Developing Northolt – and perhaps connecting it to Heathrow with a high speed rail link – would allow the government to avoid accusations of a U-turn as the third runway would then be some distance from the main airport.

Seriously – if the government proposes many more airports we will soon reach a point where there is a little tiny one in everyone’s back garden, with a fully fueled Boeing 747 idling on the 5-metre runway. And each of them, of course, will have a high-speed rail link to Heathrow Airport.

Because nothing says “come connect through Britain on your journey” like having to transfer between a million small airports on an imaginary high speed rail link that may or may not be built in 30 years’ time.

For once, can we actually do something quickly and efficiently in this country, and build the damn third runway at Heathrow?

No hand-wringing, no five year national enquiry chaired by a retired betitled judge, no proposals for twenty new small satellite airports, each serving two destinations and each requiring a high-speed rail link to connect them to the others. None of that. This one really isn’t rocket science. Just build the damn runway.

London Doesn’t Have Enough Airports, Apparently

Well done for sticking with this blog post past the inspiring title. If you are reading this far, you must be a true fan, a transportation policy anorak or my mother. In any case, thank you very much!

This post is in response to a piece in the Daily Telegraph entitled “David Cameron says Britain needs bigger airport for London”:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/9153324/David-Cameron-says-Britain-needs-bigger-airport-for-London.html

The Prime Minister said he had “an open mind” about all possible proposals, even though the Coalition has previously ruled out building a third runway at Heathrow.

In particular, ministers will carefully consider the proposal by Boris Johnson, the London Mayor, to build a completely new airport in the Thames estuary.

However, Mr Cameron said there were still “a range of options and possibilities”, raising speculation an expansion of Heathrow could come back on to the table in the next parliament.

“I’m not blind to the need to increase airport capacity, particularly in the south-east,” he said. “”We need to retain our status as a key global hub for air travel, not just a feeder route to bigger airports elsewhere, in Frankfurt, Amsterdam or Dubai.

Now hold on just one second.

The Conservative party campaigned at the last election on a manifesto commitment to oppose the building of an additional runway at Heathrow Airport, the capital’s main hub airport. I thought that was a stupid, counterproductive idea designed to pander to the less thinking green vote then, and I think it’s a stupid, counterproductive idea designed to pander to the less thinking green vote now.

So imagine my surprise to learn that ministers are seriously considering the even more hare-brained idea by London Mayor Boris Johnson to build an entirely new, huge airport in the Thames estuary. Seriously? After goodness knows how much time and effort and money (both public and private) was pumped into building Terminal 5 at Heathrow, and sprucing up the remaining terminals in time for the London Olympics? You are seriously telling me that you now want to build a new airport for London.

Well, London is of course chronically underserved in terms of locations where you can jump on a plane. I mean, basically commercial passengers are limited to:

London Heathrow

London Gatwick

London City

London Stansted

London Luton

London Oxford (apparently that’s what they call it now)

London Torquay

London Shetland Islands

Okay, so the last two were made up. But seriously? Another airport?

Sometimes I read the news and I actually think that maybe I’m just irretrievably stupid, that maybe the government sees the world rationally and clearly and that my brain is just not developed enough to comprehend the logical, simple beauty behind their policy proposals. Because how else could such a seemingly dumb idea be suggested?

Firstly. Cities reap the biggest benefit from air transport when they have a single big, hub airport. Having lots of semi-hub airports jockeying for position doesn’t do nearly so much good. If I’m coming from the United States and flying to India, it is awkward enough to have to stop over at London Heathrow and enjoy their hospitality while I wait for my connection. If I now have to clear customs at Heathrow and then take an airport shuttle bus or rail link to London Thames Estuary or London Middle Of Nowhere to make my connection, I will be even less inclined to transit through Heathrow. The airport loses potential revenue, and the government loses the criminal levels of air passenger duty that they charge whenever you try to flee this rainy island.

Secondly. Environmentalists didn’t want an additional runway at Heathrow Airport, even though that airport is stretched to capacity. How much happier will they be with an entirely new airport and the additional footprint that it would require with scare land available? The answer – less happy, believe it or not! As the Telegraph article states:

“In a letter to The Daily Telegraph on Monday, a group of Conservatives joined forces with Professor Germaine Greer and politicians from all parties to claim the airport would destroy an area used by 300,000 migrating birds every year.”

So having pandered to the environmentalists at the last election despite their doubts about your sincerity, you are now going to prove them right by not only reneging on your pledge about the new runway, but rubbing a whole new massive hub airport in their faces instead? Smart move!

Thirdly. Does this airport replace Heathrow, or Gatwick? Or Stansted? Or any of the others? If not, how do we build links to connect this new hub airport with the seventeen existing ones, and handle the fact that passengers will be cris-crossing the capital trying to make distant flight connections even more than they have to already? If yes, what do we do with vast amount of capital and buildings and equipment and land at the existing sites? Turn them into museums? Shared housing for low-income families? Huge skate parks? Desolate, crime-ridden brownfield sites? (Yes). And how do we convince the owners of these airports, all of whom are in the private sector, to sell out and close down operations against their interests to allow the new airport to flourish?

In short: did anyone, anyone at all think through the implications of this eye-blisteringly stupid idea for even one milisecond before calling a press conference, opening their smug, greasy cakeholes and proclaiming this policy reversal? Anyone?

These same people have control of our national economic and foreign policies, and have their fingers on our nuclear trigger. Am I the only one who is disturbed by this?

That is all.

Norman Tebbit on Gay Marriage

With a heavy heart and a deep sigh I noticed that Norman Tebbit has written a piece for the Telegraph on the issue of gay marriage. I was, of course, compelled to read it at once:

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/normantebbit/100144912/gay-marriage-wont-win-cameron-the-next-election/

Let’s dispense with the foolishness of the title – “Gay Marriage Won’t Win Cameron The Next Election” – right away. Just as basic civil rights (and no, living in a country where everyone else is forced to abide by select teachings from your particular holy book is not a civil right) should never be granted or taken away by popular vote, neither should they be used to try to win or lose elections, often though that may happen.

This article really is the very worst of old-school conservatism fighting a rear-guard retreat against inevitable and welcome change, but the sheer patheticness of the new arguments that Lord Tebbit raises to slow the march toward marriage equality are so ludicrous that I felt I must deconstruct them one by one.

“Was anyone asked to check in how many pieces of legislation the words “husband” or “wife” appear? Are they to be replaced by some suitable non-discriminatory new word or words? Then what about the grounds for divorce? How will adultery be redefined? Exactly what kind of sexual acts outside marriage will constitute grounds for divorce? What will amount to the consummation of a marriage?”

The word you are groping for is “spouse”, Lord Tebbit. I know, it was a tricky one. Do we need to replace the words “husband” and “wife” in every bit of legislation ever written? I’m not a student of law, but I would hope that this is not necessary and that judges up and down the land would not be so pedantic as to fight their own personal mini-wars against gay marriage by issuing contrary rulings until the letter of the law was changed. But even if this were the case, is that a good enough reason to deny a civil right to someone?

How will adultery be defined? Having sexual relations with someone other than your spouse, same as it is now. No need to worry there either, Lord Tebbit. Simples.

Exactly what kind of sexual acts outside marriage will constitute grounds for divorce? What will amount to the consummation of a marriage? Ah yes, the old-school conservative hangup with exactly what goes on in the bedrooms of the same-sex couple. Well, first of all, Lord Tebbit, it is stupid to have a list of certain sexual acts that constitute grounds for divorce and ones that don’t. If we have such a list now in this country, it too is stupid, and we should get rid of it. Secondly, such a “list” would include all of those ghastly goings-on, the thoughts of which keep you awake at night in a cold sweat. Intercourse, oral sex, all kinds of naughty things that should only ever take place missionary-style, for five minutes, between a married man and wife, for the express purpose of having a baby. With the lights off. Sorry, old chap.

“What fun will be had amongst our legislators as they grapple with the question of the appropriate titles for the “partners” of those who receive the honour of knighthoods, or are made Dames, Barons or Baronesses. At present we live happily with the inequity of husbands receiving no title when their wives are honoured, but surely that cannot continues under the politically correct new order.”

Norman Tebbit proposing this argument against gay marriage is like me being tied to the rail tracks as an express train hurtles towards me, and me throwing a feather in its path hoping to stop its progress. Nonetheless, let’s engage. Firstly, I would say that the existing honours and title system in this country is stupid, vastly outdated, not understood by the majority of the population, and should be replaced by a single honour, the “Order of the United Kingdom” or something like that. But if we must keep the existing system then I’m sure we can pay a panel of retired, betitled judges to form an official enquiry into the new name that should be given to the husband of a man who has himself been titled. We like enquiries like that in this country. Maybe you could draw the new official coat of arms to be used by the gay spouses of honourees, Lord Tebbit, wouldn’t that be fun? We’ll get you a sheet of paper and some crayons.

“Within the can of worms that Mr Cameron is determined to open there are several nests of snakes. Why should a marriage be confined to just two persons? What is the barrier to the marriage of sisters, brothers or even parents and children?”

Well, one thing at a time, Lord Tebbit, eh? While the objective of those who push for marriage equality is obviously to use it as a mere stepping stone on the path toward their long-cherished dream of marrying their horse, we understand that progress comes slowly in this world.

Oh. And a nest of snakes in a can of worms? How does that work?

“Perhaps it is another contagion from his Lib Dem partners.  Surely it cannot be to gain votes. Not only would that be unworthy, but he must know that the pink vote is substantially less than the UKIP vote. Indeed most of the homosexuals that I know cast their votes on very much the same issues as the rest of us. They are not a separate species. They pay taxes, have mortgages, battle with EU laws which destroy jobs, have concerns about the price of petrol, crime, immigration, the cruel delusion of multi culturalism and  the dangers of instability in the Middle East, just like heterosexuals.”

Ah yes, there is always a line in these articles affirming that the author actually knows many homosexuals him or herself, and gets on very well with them and considers them great chums, and that to a person they all quite agree that they don’t need all this equality nonsense. Check.

And again – seriously, Lord Tebbit, are you saying that because there are more people who vote for a eurosceptic party than vote for marriage equality, the Conservative party should ignore the “pink vote” and chase the eurosceptic one? Firstly, I’m not so sure as you seem to be that the two are mutually exclusive, and secondly, yes of course gay people are concerned about all of the same issues as the rest of us, it’s just that they have that one additional cause to worry about – that of not currently being equal under the law with a married heterosexual couple.

In all seriousness now. It doesn’t please me at all to belittle Norman Tebbit, who has served this country admirably both in the armed forces, the private sector and in government. I believe that he has done many great things to help this country, especially during his tenure in PM Thatcher’s cabinet. But the fact that such a distinguished man can make such petty rhetorical arguments – “we can’t allow gay marriage because then we would have to decide what to call the husband of a Duke” – in the path of progress is beneath him as a man of intellect, and is only further evidence that the argument against gay marriage has been comprehensively lost by the old guard. If this is the best that they’ve got, marriage equality in Britain may be even closer than we think.

What Exactly Is Your Fair Share?

Tax Fair Share Flat Tax

 

As every British taxpayer knows, this week the coalition Conservative/Liberal Democrat government will announce its budget for the coming fiscal year. And as usual, there is much speculation about what bold, eye-catching new initiatives will be announced, which favoured groups will receive the best and most insulting handouts (10p per week increase for those on the state pension, anyone?) and which of our cherished vices such as smoking or drinking will be slapped with the biggest tax increases to raise money to pay for it all.

But probably the biggest pre-budget story at the moment concerns the speculation that the government is poised to repeal the last Labour government’s spiteful, punitive, ugly and counterproductive 50% top marginal rate of income tax which they imposed just before being booted from office, either eliminating it entirely in a stroke or reducing it to 45% as the first step of a phased elimination.

Cue much indignation, huffing and puffing from the British left, who talk all the time of the importance of “the wealthy” or “the rich” paying “their fair share”.

Their fair share. What exactly does this phrase mean? It is grotesquely overused in British political and fiscal discussions at the moment, by both left and right. It is used by the left as an attack – “taking benefits and tax credits from hard working people while never asking the rich to pay their fair share!”-  and by the right as a defence – “ensuring that we are all in this together, and that those who can afford the most pay their fair share”.

So what is fairness when it comes to tax policy?

You could argue that since we all live in the same country and benefit from the same infrastructure, public services and national defence, the total bill for government spending should be divided equally between all people of a working age in this country. We can all avail ourselves of the public schools, the National Health Service and the roads in this country, so we should all pay the same toward their continued existence. So what if you’re on minimum wage and your tax bill for the year is greater than your income? Well, everyone has to pay their fair share, so better get a second, third and fourth job if you want to pay your tax bill and still eat. Otherwise it’s not fair to everyone else.

You could argue that some people use certain public services a lot more than others, and that aside from the national umbrella of national defence it is not fair to make any two people pay the same amount if they use different services, and that the best thing to do is to abolish the majority of taxes and move toward a pay-per-use scheme. So what if you’re on minimum wage and you don’t have the money you need to see the doctor? Too bad, you’ll have to make your own arthritis medicine yourself out of pressed flowers and tree bark.

You could accept that those who have been financially successful and/or fortunate should shoulder a greater burden of government spending in real terms, but that to ask them to pay a larger proportion of their incomes just because they are rich is offensive and unfair, and in this case you would support a flat tax system, where everybody pays the same rate. Everyone then gets access to the public services that they need, and everyone pays the same percentage of his or her income to support those services. Perfectly fair, no?

Alternatively, you could accept the premise that those with greater incomes should pay a higher proportion of that income in tax, in addition to paying more purely in real terms. And that’s pretty much the system we have in place here and pretty much everywhere else in the western world, a stepped, progressive tax system. If you earn little to no money you pay little to no tax either in real terms or as a percentage, and as your income grows, so does your tax liability. A lot of people think that this is fair.

My point is that each of these solutions can be described on one way or another as being “fair”. The word doesn’t really mean anything on its own, it is only given meaning through the context in which it is used, which is entirely based on your political beliefs. But in British political discourse it is always used to mean, in some general fuzzy way, that “other”, “richer” people more prosperous than us than us should pay more to cover all the bills. It is used lazily to impart a pious aura of nobility to demands for what are already significant transfers of wealth from the rich to the poor in this country at best, or counterproductive and demotivational daylight robbery at worst.

Under the present tax code in Britain, if you earn more than £150,00o in income in a given year, each additional pound you earn above that level to infinity is taxed at 50%. The income you earned between about £40,000 and £149,999 was taxed at 40%. And this doesn’t include the other huge tax-in-all-but-name, National Insurance, which means that many people earning much over £70,000 pay marginal tax rates greater than half of each additional pound that they earn. A yearly salary of £70,000 may sound like – and be – a lot of money, but if you are a family on a single income with several children, living in the South East, you’re not exactly the Monopoly Man. What’s fair about asking for more than half of that person’s hard-earned pay rise in additional tax contributions?

In order to win Liberal Democrat approval to cut the top rate of income tax down from the punishingly high 50% level, the Conservatives will doubtless have to make a number of concessions. Some of these may yet be sensible, such as moves to shift the burden of tax away from earned income (i.e. more ‘productive’ money) and more toward unearned income and wealth. This would help to ensure that income is reinvested in the economy, though whether it is the role of government to meddle in this way is not entirely clear. Some of the other concessions will doubtless take the form of yet more envious, baseless pokes at the rich. It is probably worth the government’s while taking most of these jabs in good humour in order to ensure the repeal of one of the highest marginal tax rates in the western world, a huge dampener on British competitiveness.

But whether the top rate drops down to 45% or back to 40% where it has been since Margaret Thatcher’s day, prepare for a lot of noise from the left and a lot of opportunistic point-scoring from the Labour Party. Be assured that these talking points have already been written and are waiting to be deployed as soon as George Osborne stands up at the despatch box in the House of Commons to read his statement. We will hear that he cares only about looking after his rich friends and is not concentrating on doing anything for the poor (because, of course, the government can only ever have one priority at a time, the rich OR the poor, and a policy that ostensibly benefits the rich could never also benefit the economy as a whole, and therefore everyone who works in it – and no, I’m not talking about “trickle-down economics”). We will see every rhetorical trick under the sun being deployed to convince the population that now is the wrong time to be focusing on “the wealthy few” when “the hard-working majority” are suffering. So expect all of this, and more. But regardless of the merit of these individual arguments, they all miss the point by a country mile.

Are there a myriad of loopholes in the current tax code that need to be closed? Absolutely.

Do further efforts need to be made to clamp down on tax fraud, and make tax avoidance more difficult? Sure.

Do we need to look again at tax rules for non-domiciled individuals, in terms of their income and property taxes? Almost certainly.

So let’s press for the government to include such measures in the upcoming budget.

But please, let us separate these issues – and the plight of the multi-millionaires and billionaires and bankers and premier league footballers that we hear about in the newspapers – from the doctor or accountant who maybe earns £200,000 a year and who now doesn’t want to take on that extra patient or new client because she is worn out, working hard trying to get ahead and to pay her “fair share” to an insatiable country.

On Freedom Of Religion

I have only one further comment to make on the topic of gay marriage and religious freedom for now, this time prompted by another article in the Daily Telegraph:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/9145759/Church-powerless-to-stop-same-sex-marriage-even-if-hundreds-of-thousands-object.html

The article discusses the publication of the British government’s “national consultation document” (no, I don’t know what one is and have never heard of one either, but I’m sure that its publication kept an army of civil servants and several retired, titled former judges well-occupied and remunerated for some considerable period of time, as all lengthy British enquiries seem to do).

The gist of the article that even if hundreds of thousands of people object to the legalisation of gay marriage, it may still go ahead (and it is implied, of course that this would be a terrible thing, because apparently we like the tyranny of the majority – or enthused minority, in this case – in this country, as long as it is working in our favour).

However, one sentence in the article struck me as particularly important and much overlooked:

“The document repeatedly underlines that the change would only affect civil marriage and that there would be an outright ban on same-sex marriages [in] religious premises even if some denominations wanted them.”

Do you understand this, stalwart defenders of “traditional values” and “religious freedom”? Even in the government’s new proposed law, it would be illegal for your church, synagogue or mosque to perform a same-sex marriage even if it wanted to some day. The government is dictating what you can and cannot do within the confines of your own church.

In this case, your view and that of the government are broadly in alignment, believe it or not – neither of you want same-sex marriages to take place in religious spaces. The only argument concerns whether you should be allowed to continue to impose your definition of marriage on the general, non-religious population through the institution of civil marriage. But some day in the future your interests may diverge, and the government may choose to legislate something directly impacting what goes on in your holy place that you profoundly disagree with.

They have the power to do it now, and as this “national consultation document” shows, they are doing it now, but you say nothing because your interests are aligned. But I don’t want to hear a word of complaint if ever a government law is proposed that actually makes your church do something that it doesn’t want to do.

That would be a violation of freedom of religion. Not the legalisation of civil same-sex marriages.